Sumgayit vs Ravan Baku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
QAR
2 - 2
SUM
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
SHA
2 - 3
SUM
40%
27%
34%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2015 |
SUM
2 - 2
FCK
62%
23%
14%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
FKN
0 - 1
SUM
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
AZA
2 - 0
SUM
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ravan Baku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
REV
0 - 2
SHA
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
FCK
0 - 0
REV
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2015 |
REV
0 - 0
AZA
35%
29%
37%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
REV
1 - 0
FKB
39%
25%
37%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
FKQ
1 - 1
REV
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |