Sumgayit vs FK Safa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2003 |
SUM
3 - 1
SAH
67%
20%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2003 |
MOI
2 - 1
SUM
20%
25%
55%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
SUM
1 - 0
BAK
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2003 |
QAR
5 - 2
SUM
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
SUM
4 - 1
IMI
58%
23%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FK Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2003 |
SAF
3 - 0
MOI
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2003 |
BAK
0 - 3
SAF
20%
25%
55%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2003 |
IMI
0 - 5
SAF
37%
27%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
SAF
7 - 1
ADL
70%
19%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
DBA
1 - 2
SAF
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |