Sumgayit vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
43%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
7º
5º
56
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 55 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 36 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
26.5% | 78.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 1
SUM
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FKQ
1 - 2
SUM
62%
23%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SEB
1 - 4
SUM
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SUM
0 - 3
ZIR
26%
28%
45%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 2
SUM
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 0
FKQ
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SFK
1 - 1
FKN
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
BJK
2 - 1
FKN
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
FKN
1 - 1
SEB
70%
19%
12%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
FKN
1 - 3
BJK
14%
22%
64%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |