Šumperk vs Bílovec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
9º
9º
47
1º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Šumperk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
BOS
1 - 1
SUM
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
SUM
3 - 0
JES
75%
15%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 0
SUM
48%
22%
30%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SUM
4 - 0
SOB
88%
9%
3%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 2
SUM
63%
18%
20%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bílovec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 2
BIL
20%
20%
60%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 2
BIL
47%
21%
32%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
BIL
1 - 0
FPR
53%
21%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TJR
2 - 0
BIL
22%
20%
58%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BIL
1 - 1
TJU
29%
25%
47%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +2 |