Paulista B 3rd Stage Round 4

Sumaré vs Manthiqueira analysis

Sumaré Manthiqueira
19 ELO 25
-4.8% Tilt 0.4%
42349º General ELO ranking 12928º
1235º Country ELO ranking 467º
ELO win probability
24.7%
Sumaré
22.5%
Draw
52.8%
Manthiqueira

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
Sumaré
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
52.8%
Win probability
Manthiqueira
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Sumaré
Manthiqueira
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sumaré
Sumaré
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2014
MAN
Manthiqueira
2 - 1
Sumaré
SUM
63%
20%
17%
19 25 6 0
03 Sep. 2014
ATI
Atibaia
3 - 1
Sumaré
SUM
79%
14%
7%
19 42 23 0
31 Aug. 2014
SUM
Sumaré
0 - 1
Primavera SP
PRI
18%
22%
59%
19 42 23 0
24 Aug. 2014
OLI
Olímpia FC
2 - 1
Sumaré
SUM
77%
15%
8%
20 42 22 -1
15 Aug. 2014
SUM
Sumaré
2 - 0
Diadema
DIA
21%
23%
57%
17 30 13 +3

Matches

Manthiqueira
Manthiqueira
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2014
MAN
Manthiqueira
2 - 1
Sumaré
SUM
63%
20%
17%
25 19 6 0
03 Sep. 2014
PRI
Primavera SP
2 - 0
Manthiqueira
MAN
68%
19%
13%
26 43 17 -1
31 Aug. 2014
MAN
Manthiqueira
2 - 1
Atibaia
ATI
15%
19%
65%
22 44 22 +4
24 Aug. 2014
BAR
Barretos
2 - 1
Manthiqueira
MAN
71%
18%
12%
22 41 19 0
17 Aug. 2014
MAN
Manthiqueira
1 - 1
Guariba
GUA
24%
23%
53%
22 33 11 0