Sweden U21 vs Bulgaria U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
MNE
0 - 2
SWE
20%
24%
56%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
DNK
2 - 4
SWE
45%
25%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2009 |
ENG
3 - 3
SWE
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2009 |
SRB
1 - 3
SWE
50%
24%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2009 |
SWE
1 - 2
ITA
24%
24%
52%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Bulgaria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
BGR
3 - 0
KAZ
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
BGR
1 - 2
GHA
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
BGR
3 - 4
ISR
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
BGR
0 - 1
AUT
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
KAZ
2 - 0
BGR
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |