Sweden U17 vs Croatia U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
PRT
2 - 0
SWE
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
IRL
1 - 1
SWE
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SWE
1 - 1
FIN
57%
23%
21%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
SWE
5 - 1
MLT
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
ISR
2 - 0
SWE
49%
24%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Croatia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
HRV
0 - 2
WLS
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CZE
2 - 2
HRV
29%
24%
47%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
HRV
2 - 0
LIE
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 5 | 53 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
HRV
4 - 1
GIB
83%
12%
5%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2015 |
HRV
1 - 0
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |