Süderelbe vs Vorwärts-Wacker 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
35.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
8º
18º
10º
50
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 61 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ATB
1 - 4
SUD
30%
20%
51%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 3
THA
60%
18%
22%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NIE
0 - 0
SUD
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 3
HEB
54%
20%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ALT
4 - 0
SUD
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
VOW
2 - 2
SAS
32%
22%
45%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
EIM
4 - 1
VOW
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VOW
1 - 1
BUC
59%
18%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
VOW
2 - 1
VHG
34%
22%
44%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ATB
2 - 4
VOW
27%
20%
53%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |