Süderelbe vs TuRa Harksheide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.1%
18.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
7º
14º
9º
46
3º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 4
SUD
17%
17%
66%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SUD
6 - 2
ATB
70%
15%
15%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAS
3 - 3
SUD
73%
15%
13%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SUD
8 - 0
UTO
85%
9%
5%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
WAN
1 - 2
SUD
27%
21%
52%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
TuRa Harksheide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
THA
3 - 1
HAL
40%
23%
38%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HEB
1 - 1
THA
68%
17%
16%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
THA
3 - 0
VHG
33%
22%
45%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ALT
5 - 0
THA
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
THA
3 - 1
ETH
30%
22%
49%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |