1a B Ap. Playoffs Round 4

Sucre FC vs Unión Magdalena analysis

Sucre FC Unión Magdalena
64 ELO 57
-15.1% Tilt -6.1%
21461º General ELO ranking 612º
46º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
51.4%
Sucre FC
25%
Draw
23.5%
Unión Magdalena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
Sucre FC
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.5%
Win probability
Unión Magdalena
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Sucre FC
Unión Magdalena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sucre FC
Sucre FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jun. 2012
UNI
Unión Magdalena
1 - 0
Sucre FC
SFC
35%
26%
39%
64 56 8 0
07 Jun. 2012
SFC
Sucre FC
1 - 0
Deportivo Rionegro
RIO
28%
25%
47%
63 69 6 +1
02 Jun. 2012
UNI
Uniautónoma
0 - 1
Sucre FC
SFC
57%
21%
22%
62 65 3 +1
31 May. 2012
SFC
Sucre FC
0 - 0
Internacional de Palmira
COR
37%
26%
37%
62 65 3 0
26 May. 2012
SFC
Sucre FC
3 - 2
América de Cali
AME
21%
27%
51%
61 75 14 +1

Matches

Unión Magdalena
Unión Magdalena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jun. 2012
UNI
Unión Magdalena
1 - 0
Sucre FC
SFC
35%
26%
39%
56 64 8 0
06 Jun. 2012
UNI
Uniautónoma
2 - 0
Unión Magdalena
UNI
67%
18%
15%
57 64 7 -1
03 Jun. 2012
COR
Internacional de Palmira
1 - 1
Unión Magdalena
UNI
59%
23%
19%
57 65 8 0
31 May. 2012
UNI
Unión Magdalena
2 - 1
Uniautónoma
UNI
26%
22%
52%
56 65 9 +1
26 May. 2012
UNI
Unión Magdalena
6 - 0
Bogotá
BOG
28%
27%
45%
54 64 10 +2