SUBT vs VESTA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2012 |
SUB
2 - 6
SIT
51%
23%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
UND
1 - 1
SUB
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DOM
2 - 1
SUB
59%
21%
21%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
HUB
5 - 0
SUB
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
SUB
2 - 4
VIC
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
VESTA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
SVV
0 - 5
DOM
44%
25%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
HOL
1 - 0
SVV
51%
25%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
VIC
1 - 1
SVV
50%
24%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SVV
0 - 1
SIT
47%
25%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
4 - 0
SVV
52%
24%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |