SUBT vs UNDEBA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
COL
2 - 1
SUB
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SUB
1 - 1
HOL
33%
24%
42%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
DOM
2 - 2
SUB
66%
19%
16%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SUB
3 - 1
VIC
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
UND
1 - 0
SUB
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
DOM
2 - 4
UND
68%
17%
15%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
UND
1 - 0
INW
24%
23%
53%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
UND
1 - 1
VIC
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SCH
4 - 1
UND
63%
21%
16%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
UND
1 - 0
SUB
35%
25%
40%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |