Bundesliga . Jor. 3

Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg analysis

Stuttgart SC Freiburg
78 ELO 84
4.8% Tilt 13.5%
81º General ELO ranking 80º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
29.8%
Stuttgart
23.8%
Draw
46.4%
SC Freiburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
Stuttgart
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46.4%
Win probability
SC Freiburg
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stuttgart
+18%
-6%
SC Freiburg

Points and table prediction

Stuttgart
Their league position
SC Freiburg
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
18º
16º
59
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München
71
71
100%
B. Dortmund
71
71
100%
RB Leipzig
66
66
100%
Union Berlin
62
62
100%
SC Freiburg
59
59
100%
B. Leverkusen
50
50
0%
Eintracht Frankfurt
50
50
0%
Wolfsburg
49
49
100%
Mainz 05
46
46
100%
B. Mönchengladbach
10º
43
43
10º
100%
Köln
11º
42
42
11º
100%
Hoffenheim
12º
36
36
12º
0%
Werder Bremen
13º
36
36
13º
0%
VfL Bochum
14º
35
35
14º
100%
FC Augsburg
15º
34
34
15º
100%
Stuttgart
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Schalke 04
17º
31
31
17º
100%
Hertha BSC
18º
29
29
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Stuttgart
SC Freiburg
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 100%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Stuttgart
SC Freiburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stuttgart
Stuttgart
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2022
BRE
Werder Bremen
2 - 2
Stuttgart
STU
36%
26%
39%
78 77 1 0
07 Aug. 2022
STU
Stuttgart
1 - 1
RB Leipzig
RBL
16%
20%
64%
78 89 11 0
29 Jul. 2022
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
0 - 1
Stuttgart
STU
15%
20%
66%
78 61 17 0
23 Jul. 2022
STU
Stuttgart
5 - 2
Valencia
VCF
24%
25%
50%
78 86 8 0
16 Jul. 2022
STU
Stuttgart
2 - 1
Brentford
BRE
30%
24%
46%
78 82 4 0

Matches

SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 2022
SCF
SC Freiburg
1 - 3
B. Dortmund
BVB
20%
21%
59%
84 89 5 0
06 Aug. 2022
AUG
FC Augsburg
0 - 4
SC Freiburg
SCF
27%
24%
50%
84 77 7 0
31 Jul. 2022
KAI
Kaiserslautern
1 - 2
SC Freiburg
SCF
18%
23%
59%
84 67 17 0
23 Jul. 2022
STR
Strasbourg
3 - 3
SC Freiburg
SCF
33%
25%
42%
84 80 4 0
20 Jul. 2022
BAH
Bahlinger SC
0 - 1
SC Freiburg
SCF
4%
12%
85%
84 35 49 0
X