Europa League 1/64
Global 3-3
Stuttgart vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
STU
2 - 1
BYM
23%
24%
53%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
KAI
1 - 0
STU
50%
23%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
WUP
1 - 3
STU
8%
16%
76%
|
86 | 49 | 37 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
STU
1 - 1
AUX
54%
25%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
STU
4 - 1
LEV
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
HOM
2 - 0
DUN
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
LIV
0 - 2
HOM
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
DUN
1 - 1
HOM
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2000 |
HOM
3 - 0
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
HOM
2 - 4
CEL
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |