Regionalliga Süd round 20

Stuttgart II vs Mainz 05 II analysis

Stuttgart II Mainz 05 II
52 ELO 48
3.1% Tilt 7.9%
1919º General ELO ranking 3539º
68º Country ELO ranking 136º
ELO win probability
57%
Stuttgart II
23.6%
Draw
19.4%
Mainz 05 II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
Stuttgart II
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.4%
Win probability
Mainz 05 II
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stuttgart II
+16%
-18%
Mainz 05 II

ELO progression

Stuttgart II
Mainz 05 II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stuttgart II
Stuttgart II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2005
TUS
TuS Koblenz
3 - 3
Stuttgart II
STU
41%
27%
32%
52 51 1 0
28 Mar. 2005
PFU
Pfullendorf
4 - 2
Stuttgart II
STU
38%
27%
36%
53 48 5 -1
19 Mar. 2005
STU
Stuttgart II
0 - 1
Wehen Wiesbaden
WEH
42%
26%
32%
53 57 4 0
12 Dec. 2004
SPO
Siegen Sportfreunde
3 - 0
Stuttgart II
STU
48%
25%
27%
55 56 1 -2
05 Dec. 2004
STU
Stuttgart II
3 - 1
Darmstadt 98
DAR
46%
26%
29%
54 55 1 +1

Matches

Mainz 05 II
Mainz 05 II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Apr. 2005
MAI
Mainz 05 II
1 - 3
Jahn Regensburg
SSV
30%
27%
43%
49 58 9 0
23 Mar. 2005
MAI
Mainz 05 II
2 - 1
Stuttgarter Kickers
SVS
37%
28%
35%
48 53 5 +1
13 Mar. 2005
MAI
Mainz 05 II
0 - 1
Nottingen
NOT
61%
21%
18%
49 41 8 -1
11 Dec. 2004
DAR
Darmstadt 98
3 - 0
Mainz 05 II
MAI
55%
24%
20%
50 54 4 -1
04 Dec. 2004
MAI
Mainz 05 II
0 - 3
Feucht SC
FEU
35%
26%
39%
51 55 4 -1