3. Liga Round 12

Stuttgart II vs Fortuna Köln analysis

Stuttgart II Fortuna Köln
59 ELO 57
-8.8% Tilt 3.1%
1840º General ELO ranking 2440º
69º Country ELO ranking 95º
ELO win probability
42%
Stuttgart II
27.7%
Draw
30.3%
Fortuna Köln

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
Stuttgart II
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30.3%
Win probability
Fortuna Köln
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stuttgart II
+18%
-13%
Fortuna Köln

ELO progression

Stuttgart II
Fortuna Köln
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stuttgart II
Stuttgart II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2014
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
3 - 0
Stuttgart II
STU
65%
21%
15%
59 68 9 0
20 Sep. 2014
STU
Stuttgart II
0 - 0
Chemnitzer
CHE
27%
27%
47%
59 67 8 0
16 Sep. 2014
STU
Stuttgart II
1 - 0
Mainz 05 II
MAI
54%
24%
22%
58 53 5 +1
13 Sep. 2014
HAL
Hallescher FC
0 - 2
Stuttgart II
STU
52%
25%
23%
57 62 5 +1
30 Aug. 2014
SGS
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
3 - 3
Stuttgart II
STU
55%
24%
22%
57 60 3 0

Matches

Fortuna Köln
Fortuna Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2014
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
1 - 0
Hansa Rostock
ROS
41%
25%
34%
57 58 1 0
20 Sep. 2014
BOR
B. Dortmund II
0 - 2
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
57%
23%
20%
57 59 2 0
13 Sep. 2014
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
2 - 0
Unterhaching
UNT
35%
26%
39%
55 60 5 +2
06 Sep. 2014
SVS
Stuttgarter Kickers
2 - 0
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
59%
24%
17%
56 64 8 -1
30 Aug. 2014
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
0 - 1
MSV Duisburg
MSV
28%
27%
45%
56 67 11 0