Sturm Graz vs SW Bregenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2004 |
FCK
2 - 0
STR
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
STR
0 - 2
GRA
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
STR
1 - 2
AUS
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
MAT
2 - 2
STR
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
STR
2 - 0
AWM
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SW Bregenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2004 |
SWB
2 - 2
RBS
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
AUS
4 - 1
SWB
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
SWB
1 - 1
FCK
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
SWB
3 - 2
MAT
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
RAP
0 - 0
SWB
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |