Sturm Graz II vs FAC Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
15º
12º
45
2º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
AWM
1 - 2
STU
69%
19%
11%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STU
1 - 2
AUS
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
FCL
4 - 2
STU
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
STU
0 - 2
FCB
19%
22%
59%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
SKN
2 - 5
STU
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
FAC Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
FAC
4 - 1
RAP
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SKN
1 - 2
FAC
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
KAP
1 - 2
FAC
17%
22%
61%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
FAC
2 - 3
AMS
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SVH
1 - 1
FAC
23%
26%
51%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |