Stromsgodset IF vs Valerenga IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
5º
15º
15º
21
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 62 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 60 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 54 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 51 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 44 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 43 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 43 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 42 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 34 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
|
15º
|
9 | 24 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 14 |
16º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
8.5% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
74.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stromsgodset IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
KFU
5 - 0
STR
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
STR
0 - 3
HAM
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
SDF
3 - 2
STR
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
STR
0 - 2
BRY
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
STR
1 - 2
KRI
48%
25%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
VIF
2 - 3
MFK
47%
24%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
TRO
2 - 1
VIF
37%
26%
38%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2025 |
KFU
0 - 1
VIF
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
VIF
1 - 1
HAM
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
SDF
2 - 1
VIF
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |