Strogino vs FK Orel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
38.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
14º
14º
20
10º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 68 |
1º
|
73% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 65 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 50 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 48 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 39 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 35 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 33 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 31 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 28 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 21 |
15º
|
66.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 10 |
16º
|
93.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strogino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
SAL
3 - 1
STR
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
STR
3 - 1
FKO
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
ZNA
2 - 3
STR
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
STR
0 - 2
DIN
14%
23%
62%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
SKA
3 - 4
STR
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
FKO
0 - 1
ORE
19%
21%
60%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
ORE
0 - 0
DIN
17%
24%
59%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
ARS
0 - 0
ORE
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
ORE
1 - 1
DIN
20%
23%
57%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
MET
2 - 0
ORE
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |