Strogino vs Arsenal Tula II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
34.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
14º
14º
14
6º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 67 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 66 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 58 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 52 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 39 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 39 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 36 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 31 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 29 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 10 |
16º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91.5% | 87.5% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 12.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strogino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
SPA
1 - 1
STR
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
STR
0 - 1
DIN
18%
22%
60%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ROM
1 - 1
STR
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
STR
0 - 3
MET
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ZVE
3 - 1
STR
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
DIN
2 - 1
ARS
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
ARS
1 - 2
MET
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ROT
3 - 1
ARS
20%
20%
60%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
ARS
0 - 1
ZEN
49%
24%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SAL
2 - 1
ARS
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |