Strasbourg vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
STR
1 - 0
GRE
65%
22%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
AJA
2 - 2
STR
34%
28%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
STR
1 - 1
LHA
64%
22%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
AUX
2 - 0
STR
64%
22%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
LUS
0 - 2
STR
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2006 |
CAE
0 - 0
MPL
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
GUI
1 - 3
CAE
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
CAE
1 - 0
TOU
66%
22%
12%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
NIO
2 - 2
CAE
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2006 |
CAE
0 - 0
MET
53%
25%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |