Third Division Round 10

Stranraer vs Peterhead analysis

Stranraer Peterhead
44 ELO 53
-2.1% Tilt -3.7%
4958º General ELO ranking 3472º
58º Country ELO ranking 41º
ELO win probability
23.6%
Stranraer
24%
Draw
52.4%
Peterhead

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
Stranraer
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
52.4%
Win probability
Peterhead
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stranraer
+2%
+6%
Peterhead

Points and table prediction

Stranraer
Their league position
Peterhead
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
10º
66
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Peterhead
66
66
100%
East Fife
65
65
100%
Edinburgh City
56
56
100%
Elgin City
55
55
100%
Spartans
52
52
100%
Stirling Albion
48
48
100%
Clyde
43
43
100%
Bonnyrigg Rose
10º
36
42
100%
Stranraer
40
40
100%
Forfar Athletic
36
36
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Stranraer
Peterhead
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Stranraer
Peterhead
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stranraer
Stranraer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2024
EDI
Edinburgh City
1 - 2
Stranraer
STR
40%
24%
36%
42 37 5 0
28 Sep. 2024
STR
Stranraer
0 - 2
Stirling Albion
STI
33%
25%
41%
44 49 5 -2
21 Sep. 2024
FOR
Forfar Athletic
2 - 1
Stranraer
STR
51%
24%
25%
44 48 4 0
14 Sep. 2024
STR
Stranraer
2 - 1
East Fife
EAS
22%
25%
53%
43 54 11 +1
07 Sep. 2024
STR
Stranraer
1 - 5
Annan Athletic
BLA
20%
22%
59%
45 55 10 -2

Matches

Peterhead
Peterhead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2024
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 1
Peterhead
PET
77%
15%
8%
53 71 18 0
05 Oct. 2024
PET
Peterhead
0 - 1
Elgin City
ELG
51%
24%
25%
53 49 4 0
28 Sep. 2024
PET
Peterhead
2 - 2
Clyde
CLY
59%
22%
20%
53 47 6 0
21 Sep. 2024
EAS
East Fife
2 - 0
Peterhead
PET
43%
26%
32%
54 53 1 -1
14 Sep. 2024
PET
Peterhead
2 - 1
Stirling Albion
STI
53%
25%
22%
54 51 3 0