Third Division Round 5

Stranraer vs Peterhead analysis

Stranraer Peterhead
47 ELO 39
1.9% Tilt 2.3%
5033º General ELO ranking 3573º
60º Country ELO ranking 44º
ELO win probability
62.3%
Stranraer
20.5%
Draw
17.2%
Peterhead

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
Stranraer
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.2%
Win probability
Peterhead
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stranraer
-17%
-7%
Peterhead

Points and table prediction

Stranraer
Their league position
Peterhead
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
10º
10º
60
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stenhousemuir
68
68
100%
Peterhead
60
60
100%
Spartans
58
58
100%
Dumbarton
57
57
100%
East Fife
44
44
100%
Forfar Athletic
42
42
100%
Elgin City
40
40
100%
Bonnyrigg Rose
39
39
100%
Clyde
38
38
100%
Stranraer
10º
36
36
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Stranraer
Peterhead
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Stranraer
Peterhead
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stranraer
Stranraer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2023
STR
Stranraer
1 - 0
Clyde
CLY
69%
19%
12%
47 38 9 0
19 Aug. 2023
BRA
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 - 1
Stranraer
STR
50%
23%
27%
47 48 1 0
15 Aug. 2023
BLA
Annan Athletic
3 - 1
Stranraer
STR
55%
21%
24%
48 50 2 -1
12 Aug. 2023
STR
Stranraer
1 - 1
East Fife
EAS
46%
25%
29%
48 48 0 0
05 Aug. 2023
ELG
Elgin City
0 - 1
Stranraer
STR
29%
24%
47%
47 41 6 +1

Matches

Peterhead
Peterhead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2023
PET
Peterhead
0 - 1
Spartans
SPA
18%
23%
59%
41 51 10 0
19 Aug. 2023
CLY
Clyde
1 - 2
Peterhead
PET
45%
24%
32%
40 39 1 +1
15 Aug. 2023
ABD
Aberdeen II
3 - 5
Peterhead
PET
10%
14%
76%
39 17 22 +1
12 Aug. 2023
PET
Peterhead
0 - 0
Stenhousemuir
STE
18%
23%
59%
39 49 10 0
05 Aug. 2023
EAS
East Fife
0 - 3
Peterhead
PET
72%
18%
11%
36 49 13 +3