Third Division Round 21

Stranraer vs East Fife analysis

Stranraer East Fife
45 ELO 58
-5.1% Tilt -5.1%
5075º General ELO ranking 3139º
59º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
21.9%
Stranraer
25.8%
Draw
52.3%
East Fife

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
Stranraer
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
52.3%
Win probability
East Fife
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stranraer
-10%
-3%
East Fife

Points and table prediction

Stranraer
Their league position
East Fife
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
10º
65
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Peterhead
66
66
100%
East Fife
65
65
100%
Edinburgh City
56
56
100%
Elgin City
55
55
100%
Spartans
52
52
100%
Stirling Albion
48
48
100%
Clyde
43
43
100%
Bonnyrigg Rose
10º
36
42
100%
Stranraer
40
40
100%
Forfar Athletic
36
36
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Stranraer
East Fife
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Stranraer
East Fife
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stranraer
Stranraer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2025
PET
Peterhead
1 - 0
Stranraer
STR
65%
20%
15%
46 54 8 0
28 Dec. 2024
STR
Stranraer
1 - 1
Clyde
CLY
32%
24%
44%
46 49 3 0
21 Dec. 2024
STI
Stirling Albion
1 - 1
Stranraer
STR
58%
22%
21%
45 50 5 +1
14 Dec. 2024
STR
Stranraer
0 - 0
Edinburgh City
EDI
42%
24%
34%
45 46 1 0
10 Dec. 2024
SPA
Spartans
1 - 3
Stranraer
STR
67%
20%
13%
43 56 13 +2

Matches

East Fife
East Fife
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2025
EAS
East Fife
3 - 0
Clyde
CLY
57%
23%
20%
57 51 6 0
08 Jan. 2025
EDI
Edinburgh City
2 - 4
East Fife
EAS
34%
26%
40%
57 49 8 0
04 Jan. 2025
EAS
East Fife
1 - 0
Forfar Athletic
FOR
66%
21%
13%
56 48 8 +1
21 Dec. 2024
EAS
East Fife
5 - 1
Spartans
SPA
39%
26%
35%
54 56 2 +2
14 Dec. 2024
PET
Peterhead
1 - 0
East Fife
EAS
42%
26%
32%
55 52 3 -1