Scottish League Two . Jor. 5

Stranraer vs Dumbarton analysis

Stranraer Dumbarton
52 ELO 50
15.4% Tilt -5.1%
5378º General ELO ranking 3653º
61º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
52.2%
Stranraer
24%
Draw
23.8%
Dumbarton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
Stranraer
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.8%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stranraer
+1%
-2%
Dumbarton

ELO progression

Stranraer
Dumbarton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stranraer
Stranraer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2007
EAS
East Fife
3 - 1
Stranraer
STR
56%
25%
19%
51 57 6 0
18 Aug. 2007
STR
Stranraer
1 - 0
Montrose
MON
60%
22%
18%
50 47 3 +1
14 Aug. 2007
QUE
Queen's Park
1 - 0
Stranraer
STR
64%
21%
16%
50 56 6 0
11 Aug. 2007
ALB
Albion Rovers
3 - 2
Stranraer
STR
50%
25%
25%
50 47 3 0
04 Aug. 2007
STR
Stranraer
3 - 0
Forfar Athletic
FOR
72%
17%
11%
49 40 9 +1

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2007
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 0
Albion Rovers
ALB
49%
25%
26%
50 49 1 0
18 Aug. 2007
ARB
Arbroath
1 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
63%
22%
16%
49 58 9 +1
14 Aug. 2007
THE
East Stirlingshire
4 - 2
Dumbarton
DUM
35%
27%
39%
50 27 23 -1
11 Aug. 2007
THE
East Stirlingshire
3 - 2
Dumbarton
DUM
19%
25%
56%
51 26 25 -1
04 Aug. 2007
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 0
Elgin City
ELG
64%
21%
15%
50 42 8 +1
X