Scottish League Two round 4

Stranraer vs Clyde analysis

Stranraer Clyde
47 ELO 38
2.1% Tilt 2.3%
4905º General ELO ranking 4670º
57º Country ELO ranking 54º
ELO win probability
68.7%
Stranraer
18.9%
Draw
12.4%
Clyde

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
Stranraer
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.4%
Win probability
Clyde
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stranraer
+11%
+15%
Clyde

Points and table prediction

Stranraer
Their league position
Clyde
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
10º
10º
38
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stenhousemuir
68
68
100%
Peterhead
60
60
100%
Spartans
58
58
100%
Dumbarton
57
57
100%
East Fife
44
44
100%
Forfar Athletic
42
42
100%
Elgin City
40
40
100%
Bonnyrigg Rose
39
39
100%
Clyde
38
38
100%
Stranraer
10º
36
36
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Stranraer
Clyde
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Stranraer
Clyde
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stranraer
Stranraer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2023
BRA
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 - 1
Stranraer
STR
50%
23%
27%
47 48 1 0
15 Aug. 2023
BLA
Annan Athletic
3 - 1
Stranraer
STR
55%
21%
24%
48 50 2 -1
12 Aug. 2023
STR
Stranraer
1 - 1
East Fife
EAS
46%
25%
29%
48 48 0 0
05 Aug. 2023
ELG
Elgin City
0 - 1
Stranraer
STR
29%
24%
47%
47 41 6 +1
25 Jul. 2023
KHE
Kelty Hearts
2 - 0
Stranraer
STR
53%
22%
25%
48 51 3 -1

Matches

Clyde
Clyde
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2023
CLY
Clyde
1 - 2
Peterhead
PET
45%
24%
32%
39 40 1 0
16 Aug. 2023
CLY
Clyde
1 - 3
Stirling University
STI
35%
23%
42%
40 45 5 -1
12 Aug. 2023
CLY
Clyde
0 - 2
Bonnyrigg Rose
BRA
39%
25%
36%
42 47 5 -2
05 Aug. 2023
SPA
Spartans
1 - 1
Clyde
CLY
68%
19%
12%
41 50 9 +1
29 Jul. 2023
LIV
Livingston
1 - 0
Clyde
CLY
85%
12%
4%
41 69 28 0