Stranraer vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
STR
0 - 4
PET
57%
23%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CWB
1 - 2
STR
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
STR
2 - 0
STE
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
QOS
2 - 0
STR
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
POR
0 - 1
STR
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
AYR
0 - 2
GLA
13%
19%
68%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
AYR
2 - 1
BRE
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ALB
3 - 0
AYR
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
AYR
2 - 0
BRE
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
AYR
3 - 1
ALB
33%
26%
42%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |