Stranraer vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
51.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
EAS
4 - 0
STR
67%
21%
12%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
STR
2 - 2
QUE
37%
26%
38%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 0
STR
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
AYR
5 - 0
STR
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
STR
0 - 3
PET
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
AYR
0 - 0
PET
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
EAS
0 - 1
AYR
42%
27%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
RAI
0 - 1
AYR
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
AYR
5 - 0
STR
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
AYR
1 - 1
QUE
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |