Second Division Round 31

Stranraer vs Alloa Athletic analysis

Stranraer Alloa Athletic
47 ELO 58
30% Tilt 10.8%
5068º General ELO ranking 2397º
59º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
37%
Stranraer
24.4%
Draw
38.6%
Alloa Athletic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
Stranraer
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.6%
Win probability
Alloa Athletic
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stranraer
-14%
+7%
Alloa Athletic

ELO progression

Stranraer
Alloa Athletic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stranraer
Stranraer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2013
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 1
Stranraer
STR
59%
21%
20%
48 51 3 0
09 Mar. 2013
STR
Stranraer
3 - 2
Albion Rovers
ALB
74%
16%
11%
48 41 7 0
02 Mar. 2013
FOR
Forfar Athletic
3 - 1
Stranraer
STR
56%
21%
23%
49 50 1 -1
23 Feb. 2013
STR
Stranraer
1 - 1
Stenhousemuir
STE
42%
23%
34%
49 55 6 0
19 Feb. 2013
STR
Stranraer
2 - 0
Arbroath
ARB
39%
23%
37%
48 55 7 +1

Matches

Alloa Athletic
Alloa Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2013
ALL
Alloa Athletic
1 - 2
Queen of the South
QOS
31%
26%
44%
58 67 9 0
16 Mar. 2013
ALL
Alloa Athletic
0 - 1
Brechin City
BRE
53%
24%
23%
59 58 1 -1
09 Mar. 2013
STE
Stenhousemuir
1 - 1
Alloa Athletic
ALL
37%
26%
36%
59 55 4 0
02 Mar. 2013
ALB
Albion Rovers
1 - 5
Alloa Athletic
ALL
20%
24%
56%
59 40 19 0
27 Feb. 2013
ARB
Arbroath
1 - 2
Alloa Athletic
ALL
44%
25%
31%
58 54 4 +1