Stourbridge vs Ilkeston Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stourbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
STO
8 - 1
BAN
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
HIT
0 - 1
STO
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
STO
0 - 0
KET
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
STA
2 - 4
STO
42%
24%
35%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
STO
0 - 2
BAR
58%
22%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ilkeston Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
FRI
2 - 1
ILK
18%
24%
58%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ILK
2 - 3
WIT
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
ILK
0 - 1
RUS
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 0
ILK
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
ILK
2 - 1
EAS
82%
12%
6%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |