SC Telstar vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
54.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 0
TEL
53%
24%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
TEL
1 - 2
APE
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
GAE
2 - 1
TEL
72%
19%
9%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
ZWO
1 - 0
TEL
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
TEL
0 - 2
GRA
22%
26%
52%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
EXC
4 - 4
FCO
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
GRA
3 - 1
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2010 |
EXC
3 - 0
BVO
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
APE
4 - 2
EXC
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
EXC
4 - 1
VOL
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |