Stoppen vs Modum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
71.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoppen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
MJO
7 - 2
SSK
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
SSK
1 - 4
LOM
11%
16%
73%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
JEV
8 - 2
SSK
89%
8%
4%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
SSK
2 - 0
HBK
15%
19%
66%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
HOL
6 - 1
SSK
83%
11%
6%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
MOD
3 - 2
RAU
89%
8%
3%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
ULL
1 - 0
MOD
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
MOD
5 - 2
BAE
84%
11%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
MOD
4 - 0
MJO
81%
12%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
LOM
1 - 2
MOD
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |