Stop Out vs Petone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
55.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
9º
8º
29
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stop Out
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
WAF
1 - 3
STO
6%
12%
82%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
STO
1 - 4
WKA
35%
21%
44%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
STO
4 - 2
MIR
18%
17%
65%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
STO
0 - 4
WSU
34%
21%
45%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
NAP
8 - 2
STO
58%
19%
23%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
PET
4 - 0
WEL
8%
13%
79%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
WSU
0 - 1
PET
72%
15%
13%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
PET
0 - 5
WEL
6%
10%
83%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | -2 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
PET
1 - 3
WEL
10%
14%
76%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 2
PET
72%
15%
13%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |