Stop Out vs North Wellington AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.4%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
5.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
6º
10º
10º
9
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stop Out
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PET
3 - 2
STO
46%
21%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
PET
2 - 1
STO
63%
18%
20%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
STO
3 - 1
NWA
86%
9%
5%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WEL
6 - 3
STO
90%
7%
3%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
STO
3 - 3
WEL
11%
14%
75%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
NWA
0 - 2
WKA
13%
16%
71%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
NWA
1 - 3
NAP
9%
12%
79%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
STO
3 - 1
NWA
86%
9%
5%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PET
3 - 0
NWA
88%
8%
4%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
NWA
0 - 5
WEL
4%
8%
88%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | -2 |