Championship round 7

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough analysis

Stoke City Middlesbrough
58 ELO 78
-2.8% Tilt -7.5%
1189º General ELO ranking 619º
38º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
22.1%
Stoke City
27.7%
Draw
50.2%
Middlesbrough

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
Stoke City
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
50.2%
Win probability
Middlesbrough
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stoke City
-4%
-10%
Middlesbrough

ELO progression

Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stoke City
Stoke City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 1998
SWI
Swindon Town
1 - 0
Stoke City
STO
52%
25%
23%
59 58 1 0
16 Jan. 1998
STO
Stoke City
2 - 1
Bradford City
BRA
48%
26%
26%
58 60 2 +1
13 Jan. 1998
WBA
West Bromwich Albion
3 - 1
Stoke City
STO
63%
21%
16%
59 63 4 -1
10 Jan. 1998
STO
Stoke City
0 - 7
Birmingham City
BIR
42%
28%
30%
61 66 5 -2
28 Dec. 1997
WBA
West Bromwich Albion
1 - 1
Stoke City
STO
61%
23%
17%
60 63 3 +1

Matches

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 1998
LIV
Liverpool
2 - 1
Middlesbrough
MID
75%
17%
9%
78 88 10 0
24 Jan. 1998
MID
Middlesbrough
1 - 2
Arsenal
ARS
38%
28%
34%
79 86 7 -1
17 Jan. 1998
MID
Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Ipswich Town
IPS
68%
19%
13%
79 71 8 0
13 Jan. 1998
MID
Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Queens Park Rangers
QPR
72%
17%
11%
78 65 13 +1
10 Jan. 1998
CHA
Charlton Athletic
3 - 0
Middlesbrough
MID
36%
28%
37%
79 68 11 -1