Stoke City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
59.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
WHU
0 - 1
STO
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
STO
3 - 1
WAL
76%
17%
7%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
STO
2 - 1
CRY
66%
22%
13%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LIV
1 - 0
STO
70%
20%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 1
STO
48%
26%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 0
HUL
84%
11%
4%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 2
MAC
11%
21%
69%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
MAC
4 - 0
NEW
76%
16%
9%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
ARS
3 - 1
MAC
46%
25%
30%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
BYM
2 - 1
MAC
71%
18%
12%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |