EFL Cup . Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Stockport County vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
44.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stockport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
STO
5 - 1
MIL
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1997 |
STO
0 - 2
STO
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1996 |
WRE
2 - 3
STO
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
BCF
0 - 0
STO
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1996 |
STO
2 - 1
WHU
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
SOU
2 - 2
NEW
31%
26%
44%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1997 |
MID
0 - 1
SOU
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1997 |
REA
3 - 1
SOU
20%
23%
57%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1996 |
SOU
0 - 1
LIV
27%
26%
46%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1996 |
TOT
3 - 1
SOU
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |