Stjernen BK vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.5%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
88.3%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
14%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.9%
0-4
10.9%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
14.5%
0-5
6.8%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
8.6%
0-6
3.5%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.3%
0-7
1.6%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.9%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
AGF
3 - 1
SON
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
FCK
1 - 1
AGF
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
ESB
5 - 1
AGF
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
AGF
2 - 1
FCN
35%
28%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
VES
0 - 2
AGF
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |