Stirling University II vs Gretna 2008 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stirling University II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
STI
2 - 1
EDI
70%
17%
13%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 2
STI
58%
21%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 2
STI
26%
23%
51%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
STI
1 - 1
VAL
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
WHI
4 - 0
STI
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
GRE
47%
23%
29%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
GRE
3 - 0
PRE
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 0
CIV
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 2
STI
26%
23%
51%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
LOT
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |