Stinatz vs Winden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stinatz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
HOR
2 - 2
STI
46%
24%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
STI
1 - 2
PUR
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
KLI
2 - 2
STI
62%
20%
18%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
STI
6 - 1
SVW
25%
23%
52%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +3 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
SCO
2 - 5
STI
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Winden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
PUR
3 - 0
FCW
53%
23%
24%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
FCW
2 - 4
SVS
22%
22%
57%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
FCW
2 - 0
SVW
19%
22%
60%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | +3 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
GUS
1 - 0
FCW
65%
20%
15%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
FCW
2 - 1
SVS
34%
24%
42%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |