EFL Trophy Fase de Grupos round 3

Stevenage vs Southampton U21 analysis

Stevenage Southampton U21
50 ELO 45
-6% Tilt -10.7%
2204º General ELO ranking 4410º
58º Country ELO ranking 131º
ELO win probability
49.6%
Stevenage
22.5%
Draw
27.9%
Southampton U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
Stevenage
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.9%
Win probability
Southampton U21
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Stevenage
Southampton U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stevenage
Stevenage
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2020
STE
Stevenage
3 - 0
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
33%
27%
40%
48 53 5 0
12 Sep. 2020
BAR
Barrow
1 - 1
Stevenage
STE
64%
22%
15%
48 57 9 0
29 Aug. 2020
STE
Stevenage
3 - 3
Portsmouth
OPA
7%
15%
79%
46 71 25 +2
07 Mar. 2020
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
3 - 1
Stevenage
STE
75%
16%
9%
47 61 14 -1
22 Feb. 2020
CRA
Crawley Town
2 - 0
Stevenage
STE
65%
21%
15%
48 55 7 -1

Matches

Southampton U21
Southampton U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2019
COV
Coventry City
3 - 2
Southampton U21
SOU
67%
19%
14%
46 62 16 0
01 Oct. 2019
WAL
Walsall
1 - 0
Southampton U21
SOU
58%
20%
22%
47 53 6 -1
03 Sep. 2019
FOR
Forest Green Rovers
3 - 2
Southampton U21
SOU
63%
20%
17%
47 59 12 0
14 Nov. 2018
SOU
Southend United
3 - 0
Southampton U21
SOU
63%
20%
17%
48 58 10 -1
09 Oct. 2018
CAM
Cambridge United
4 - 0
Southampton U21
SOU
38%
24%
39%
49 48 1 -1