National League Round 41

Stevenage vs Exeter City analysis

Stevenage Exeter City
58 ELO 62
11.8% Tilt 6.8%
2150º General ELO ranking 2080º
59º Country ELO ranking 58º
ELO win probability
43.8%
Stevenage
24.8%
Draw
31.3%
Exeter City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
Stevenage
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.3%
Win probability
Exeter City
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stevenage
+7%
-9%
Exeter City

ELO progression

Stevenage
Exeter City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stevenage
Stevenage
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2008
STE
Stevenage
3 - 2
York City
YOR
53%
24%
24%
58 56 2 0
27 Mar. 2008
SAL
Salisbury City
1 - 0
Stevenage
STE
33%
27%
40%
59 56 3 -1
24 Mar. 2008
OXF
Oxford United
2 - 1
Stevenage
STE
29%
27%
44%
59 53 6 0
21 Mar. 2008
STE
Stevenage
3 - 1
Ebbsfleet United
EBB
56%
23%
20%
59 55 4 0
13 Mar. 2008
STE
Stevenage
2 - 1
Kidderminster Harriers
KID
59%
23%
18%
58 54 4 +1

Matches

Exeter City
Exeter City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Apr. 2008
EXE
Exeter City
1 - 1
Droylsden
DRO
71%
18%
11%
61 42 19 0
29 Mar. 2008
EXE
Exeter City
1 - 0
FC Halifax Town
HAL
69%
20%
12%
61 48 13 0
24 Mar. 2008
WEY
Weymouth
3 - 1
Exeter City
EXE
20%
25%
55%
62 47 15 -1
22 Mar. 2008
EXE
Exeter City
1 - 0
Kidderminster Harriers
KID
67%
20%
13%
62 53 9 0
10 Mar. 2008
YOR
York City
3 - 2
Exeter City
EXE
30%
27%
43%
62 56 6 0