Stevenage vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 0
STE
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
LEY
0 - 0
STE
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
STE
1 - 0
TOW
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
STE
3 - 0
FOR
25%
27%
49%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 0
STE
59%
25%
16%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
CUM
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CUM
3 - 1
BRA
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
CUM
1 - 1
GRI
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 1
CUM
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
COL
2 - 1
CUM
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |