Steve Biko vs Armed Forces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
31.9%
Draw
0-0
15.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.9%
35.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Steve Biko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
BOM
5 - 2
STE
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
STE
2 - 3
SAM
37%
31%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
STE
0 - 1
MAR
33%
31%
36%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
REA
2 - 0
STE
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
STE
0 - 0
SER
41%
32%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Armed Forces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ARM
2 - 0
REA
43%
30%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ARM
2 - 3
TAL
43%
29%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ARM
1 - 0
GAM
42%
30%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
ARM
0 - 0
BRI
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
GPA
1 - 2
ARM
46%
29%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |