Third Division Round 31

Stenhousemuir vs Dumbarton analysis

Stenhousemuir Dumbarton
50 ELO 48
18.4% Tilt 3.5%
3004º General ELO ranking 4021º
34º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
61.8%
Stenhousemuir
20.9%
Draw
17.3%
Dumbarton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
Stenhousemuir
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.3%
Win probability
Dumbarton
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stenhousemuir
-15%
+36%
Dumbarton

ELO progression

Stenhousemuir
Dumbarton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2008
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 0
Stenhousemuir
STE
40%
26%
34%
51 47 4 0
15 Mar. 2008
ARB
Arbroath
1 - 0
Stenhousemuir
STE
58%
23%
19%
51 58 7 0
08 Mar. 2008
STE
Stenhousemuir
2 - 2
Elgin City
ELG
60%
21%
19%
52 49 3 -1
01 Mar. 2008
THE
East Stirlingshire
3 - 4
Stenhousemuir
STE
38%
25%
37%
51 43 8 +1
23 Feb. 2008
STE
Stenhousemuir
2 - 2
Albion Rovers
ALB
59%
21%
20%
51 49 2 0

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2008
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 0
Stenhousemuir
STE
40%
26%
34%
47 51 4 0
15 Mar. 2008
ELG
Elgin City
2 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
60%
22%
19%
48 49 1 -1
05 Mar. 2008
ARB
Arbroath
0 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
68%
20%
12%
47 58 11 +1
01 Mar. 2008
ALB
Albion Rovers
0 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
65%
19%
16%
47 48 1 0
23 Feb. 2008
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 1
Arbroath
ARB
24%
25%
51%
45 58 13 +2