Stenhousemuir vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AIR
1 - 1
STE
60%
22%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 0
STE
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
STE
2 - 1
FOR
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
STR
3 - 1
STE
68%
19%
14%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
STE
1 - 4
PET
17%
22%
62%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AYR
0 - 1
ALB
62%
21%
16%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CWB
1 - 0
AYR
33%
24%
43%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AYR
2 - 1
STR
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 1
AYR
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
AYR
0 - 2
DUN
32%
26%
43%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |