Stenhousemuir vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ARB
2 - 1
STE
25%
23%
52%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 0
STE
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
STE
0 - 2
GLA
13%
22%
65%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2014 |
STE
1 - 2
DUN
41%
25%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 1
STE
42%
23%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
AYR
1 - 3
BRE
56%
21%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
AYR
3 - 0
AIR
72%
16%
12%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
STR
4 - 0
AYR
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
AYR
2 - 0
EAS
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
AYR
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |