Second Division Round 11

Stenhousemuir vs Ayr United analysis

Stenhousemuir Ayr United
57 ELO 54
6% Tilt 9.1%
3010º General ELO ranking 854º
34º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
53.3%
Stenhousemuir
23%
Draw
23.7%
Ayr United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
Stenhousemuir
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.7%
Win probability
Ayr United
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stenhousemuir
-17%
-12%
Ayr United

ELO progression

Stenhousemuir
Ayr United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2012
STE
Stenhousemuir
1 - 1
Berwick Rangers
BER
71%
17%
12%
58 45 13 0
27 Oct. 2012
BRE
Brechin City
7 - 2
Stenhousemuir
STE
30%
25%
45%
59 48 11 -1
20 Oct. 2012
QOS
Queen of the South
2 - 2
Stenhousemuir
STE
61%
21%
17%
59 63 4 0
06 Oct. 2012
STE
Stenhousemuir
3 - 0
East Fife
EAS
57%
22%
21%
58 53 5 +1
29 Sep. 2012
STE
Stenhousemuir
2 - 2
Arbroath
ARB
42%
25%
33%
58 59 1 0

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2012
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 1
Clachnacuddin
CLA
79%
14%
7%
53 37 16 0
27 Oct. 2012
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 0
Arbroath
ARB
38%
24%
38%
52 58 6 +1
20 Oct. 2012
ALL
Alloa Athletic
1 - 0
Ayr United
AYR
57%
22%
21%
53 57 4 -1
06 Oct. 2012
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 1
Albion Rovers
ALB
67%
19%
14%
52 47 5 +1
29 Sep. 2012
AYR
Ayr United
3 - 0
Brechin City
BRE
62%
21%
18%
52 49 3 0