Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
DUN
7 - 1
STE
60%
22%
19%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
CWB
2 - 1
STE
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
STE
1 - 0
CLY
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
STE
5 - 0
COV
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
STE
1 - 1
BRE
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
ARB
3 - 4
STI
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CLY
1 - 0
ARB
55%
23%
21%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
ARB
2 - 2
ALL
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
IRV
1 - 0
ARB
19%
23%
59%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
PET
1 - 2
ARB
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |